https://code0xff.org/tags/%E4%B8%AD%E4%B8%9C%E9%97%AE%E9%A2%98/ Recent content in 中东问题 on 记录每个瞬间 Hugo -- gohugo.io zh-CN Sat, 28 Mar 2026 09:10:12 +0800 https://code0xff.org/post/2026/03/iran_war/ Sat, 28 Mar 2026 09:10:12 +0800 https://code0xff.org/post/2026/03/iran_war/ This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the Iran War through a 6-dimension framework (What, Why, How,Who Else, So What, What Next) and 13 key points. It examines the ongoing military conflict between Iran and the U.S.-Israel coalition, covering escalating airstrikes, missile exchanges, and the strategic tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. The analysis explores the root causes including Iran"s nuclear program, regional power competition, and the breakdown of diplomacy. It presents three future scenarios: U.S.-Israel victory, Iranian strategic success, or prolonged stalemate—with the latter deemed most likely. The article details military tactics (air campaigns, drone warfare, asymmetric strategies), cyber warfare, energy weaponization, and the global economic impact including oil price shocks and supply chain disruption. It also addresses regional spillover through proxy groups, great power competition involving China and Russia, diplomatic efforts, Iran"s domestic political stability, humanitarian consequences, and long-term implications for Middle East security architecture and nuclear proliferation risks.